The Weight of the Evidence

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The CASP

The CASP: March 3, 2024
Notes from the plane.
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The Carter
The CASP: February 25, 2024
Executive Summary
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The Carter
The CASP: February 5, 2024
CDX and breadth pillars pointing the way.
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The Carter
The Outlook: Downgrading the Cyclical Outlook
TIPS break-evens have slammed shut the door to upside beyond the 4818.62 SPX ATH in the near-term. Breadth divergences point lower, but downside likely…
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The Carter
The CASP: January 4, 2024
A post-breadth thrust overbought condition meets FED re-hawking, rising rates, and the rising probability Treasury re-hawks via the January 31 QRA…
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The Carter
The CASP: December 13, 2023
Well-anchored break-evens keep further FED tightening at bay. But sticky supercore, overly aggressive cuts pricing, and rising asset prices promises a…
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The Carter
The CASP: December 7, 2023
NFP, CPI, SEP and Powell loom.
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The Carter
The CASP: November 24, 2023
Mind the EOM/BOM flows.
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The Carter
The CASP: Final Framework Update
And other WOTE news.
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The Carter
The CASP: November 13, 2023
VOL: Neutral.
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The Carter
The CASP: November 10, 2023
Thursday was a fake-out bearish breakdown. Is it up, up and away into year-end, or will fundamental reality take hold?
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The Carter
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